Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.222983 0.251740 0.282221 0.316876 0.355122 0.395981 0.442870
2025-08-03 0.187277 0.226570 0.270654 0.323564 0.385120 0.454243 0.537496
2025-08-10 0.163069 0.209343 0.263826 0.332247 0.415377 0.512572 0.634241
2025-08-17 0.139762 0.189436 0.250542 0.330454 0.431329 0.553496 0.711586
2025-08-24 0.122065 0.173869 0.240176 0.330094 0.447505 0.594135 0.789414
2025-08-31 0.107497 0.160372 0.230584 0.329011 0.461525 0.631637 0.864040
2025-09-07 0.098127 0.152656 0.227497 0.335554 0.485008 0.681531 0.956009
2025-09-14 0.088179 0.142909 0.220473 0.335683 0.499172 0.719084 1.032652
2025-09-21 0.079730 0.134367 0.214189 0.335957 0.512935 0.756039 1.109333
2025-09-28 0.072449 0.126770 0.208473 0.336298 0.526300 0.792451 1.186122
2025-10-05 0.067244 0.121846 0.206208 0.341283 0.546208 0.838389 1.277464
2025-10-12 0.063517 0.118898 0.206617 0.350091 0.571856 0.893162 1.382965
2025-10-19 0.058489 0.113465 0.202942 0.352701 0.588875 0.936983 1.475785
2025-10-26 0.054899 0.110133 0.202338 0.359995 0.613263 0.992476 1.587617
2025-11-02 0.052048 0.107806 0.203151 0.369490 0.641363 1.054427 1.711076
2025-11-09 0.047452 0.101821 0.197281 0.367514 0.651016 1.088590 1.793857
2025-11-16 0.043587 0.096788 0.192609 0.367115 0.662958 1.126437 1.883216
2025-11-23 0.039986 0.091876 0.187725 0.365925 0.673339 1.161974 1.969915
2025-11-30 0.037907 0.089766 0.187702 0.373092 0.697773 1.220346 2.093782
2025-12-07 0.035065 0.085790 0.183900 0.373233 0.710192 1.259756 2.188830
2025-12-14 0.032497 0.082113 0.180351 0.373533 0.722741 1.299610 2.285590
2025-12-21 0.030163 0.078683 0.176994 0.373906 0.735292 1.339711 2.383750
2025-12-28 0.028577 0.076747 0.176410 0.379365 0.756938 1.395445 2.508785